Lake Elmo — Current Water Temperature, Annual Trends and Forecast
This page provides information on the current water temperature in Lake Elmo, trends, monthly ranges and the forecast for the coming days.
Current Water Temperature
Water Temperature in Lake Elmo today is 14°C.
Water Temperature: Daily Trends, Historical Records, and Forecast
⚠️ As of today, the minimum water temperature ranges from 54°F (12°C) to 60°F (15°C). The water is significantly warmer, and swimming becomes possible for most people. However, caution may still be required for prolonged stays in the water, as extended exposure can cause discomfort. This is a suitable temperature range for short swims and for those accustomed to cooler water. For more comfortable swimming, it is recommended to use proper gear. It is important to note that these swimming tips and recommendations apply only in good weather. When the air temperature is below 68°F (20°C), and sometimes even below 77°F (25°C), swimming can be unpleasant even with relatively high water temperatures.
Water Temperature Chart Over the Last 30 Days
Table of Daily Sea Temperature Data
| Date | Current | Average | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| OCT 5 | 15.0°C | 13.0°C | |
| OCT 6 | 14.9°C | 13.0°C | |
| OCT 7 | 14.3°C | 13.0°C | |
| OCT 8 | 14.9°C | 13.0°C | |
| OCT 9 | 14.6°C | 13.0°C | |
| OCT 10 | 14.1°C | 13.0°C | |
| OCT 11 | 13.8°C | 13.0°C | |
| OCT 12 | 13.9°C | 13.0°C | |
| OCT 13 | 13.0°C | 14.0°C | |
| OCT 14 | 13.0°C | 13.9°C | |
| OCT 15 | 13.0°C | 13.9°C | |
| OCT 16 | 13.0°C | 13.8°C | |
| OCT 17 | 13.0°C | 13.8°C | |
| OCT 18 | 13.0°C | 13.7°C | |
| OCT 19 | 13.0°C | 13.7°C |
* Current - Actual water temperature value
** Average - Average water temperature on this day in recent years
*** Forecast - Our water temperature forecast
Actual nearshore water temperatures may fluctuate by several degrees from the reported values, especially following heavy rainfall or extended periods of strong winds. Certain wind patterns can cause colder, deeper waters to rise and replace the sun-warmed surface water, leading to noticeable variations.
Our forecast is based on a proprietary mathematical model that considers real-time water temperature changes, historical trends, key weather patterns, wind strength and direction, and air temperature specific to each region. Additionally, we incorporate data from other resorts to enhance accuracy.
Monthly Water Temperature Range (Min, Max & Average)
| Month | Min | Avg | Max |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0°C | 1°C | 4°C |
| February | 0°C | 2°C | 4°C |
| March | 0°C | 3°C | 7°C |
| April | 3°C | 9°C | 15°C |
| May | 10°C | 16°C | 22°C |
| June | 13°C | 20°C | 27°C |
| July | 22°C | 25°C | 28°C |
| August | 22°C | 26°C | 31°C |
| September | 18°C | 22°C | 26°C |
| October | 6°C | 13°C | 20°C |
| November | 3°C | 7°C | 11°C |
| December | 1°C | 3°C | 6°C |
Lake Elmo: Water Temperature by Location
Lake Elmo: Weather Forecast
October 13
October 14
October 15
October 16
October 17
Location & Local Information
Lake Elmo in suburban Minnesota experiences the typical seasonal swings of a small inland lake. Surface water temperatures in spring often rise from near freezing after ice-out to roughly 40–60°F (4–16°C) by late spring. In summer, shallow bays and the upper layer commonly warm to about 65–80°F (18–27°C) on warm spells, though cooler temperatures persist in deeper spots. Autumn sees a steady cooling back into the 45–60°F (7–16°C) range before winter brings surface temperatures down to near freezing, about 32–40°F (0–4°C), and often ice cover for weeks to months depending on the year and weather.
Swimming at Lake Elmo is typically permitted during the warmer months at designated areas when local park authorities or health departments indicate conditions are safe. Seasonal swimming is allowed because summer temperatures can reach comfortable ranges and sites are monitored for hazards, but access is subject to posted rules, lifeguard hours, and occasional advisories. Swimming is not advisable when water is very cold or when the lake is ice-covered because of cold-water shock and hypothermia risk, and officials may close beaches temporarily for water-quality concerns such as bacterial contamination or harmful algal blooms. Always check current local notices before entering the water.