Lake Shenandoah — Current Water Temperature, Annual Trends and Forecast
This page provides information on the current water temperature in Lake Shenandoah, trends, monthly ranges and the forecast for the coming days.
Current Water Temperature
Water Temperature in Lake Shenandoah today is 13.4°C.
Water Temperature: Daily Trends, Historical Records, and Forecast
⚠️ As of today, the minimum water temperature ranges from 54°F (12°C) to 60°F (15°C). The water is significantly warmer, and swimming becomes possible for most people. However, caution may still be required for prolonged stays in the water, as extended exposure can cause discomfort. This is a suitable temperature range for short swims and for those accustomed to cooler water. For more comfortable swimming, it is recommended to use proper gear. It is important to note that these swimming tips and recommendations apply only in good weather. When the air temperature is below 68°F (20°C), and sometimes even below 77°F (25°C), swimming can be unpleasant even with relatively high water temperatures.
Water Temperature Chart Over the Last 30 Days
Table of Daily Sea Temperature Data
| Date | Current | Average | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| OCT 26 | 15.4°C | 18.5°C | |
| OCT 27 | 14.7°C | 18.5°C | |
| OCT 28 | 14.6°C | 18.5°C | |
| OCT 29 | 14.4°C | 18.5°C | |
| OCT 30 | 13.7°C | 18.5°C | |
| OCT 31 | 13.6°C | 18.5°C | |
| NOV 1 | 13.9°C | 10.9°C | |
| NOV 2 | 13.4°C | 10.9°C | |
| NOV 3 | 10.9°C | 13.3°C | |
| NOV 4 | 10.9°C | 13.2°C | |
| NOV 5 | 10.9°C | 13.0°C | |
| NOV 6 | 10.9°C | 12.9°C | |
| NOV 7 | 10.9°C | 12.8°C | |
| NOV 8 | 10.9°C | 12.7°C | |
| NOV 9 | 10.9°C | 12.5°C |
* Current - Actual water temperature value
** Average - Average water temperature on this day in recent years
*** Forecast - Our water temperature forecast
Actual nearshore water temperatures may fluctuate by several degrees from the reported values, especially following heavy rainfall or extended periods of strong winds. Certain wind patterns can cause colder, deeper waters to rise and replace the sun-warmed surface water, leading to noticeable variations.
Our forecast is based on a proprietary mathematical model that considers real-time water temperature changes, historical trends, key weather patterns, wind strength and direction, and air temperature specific to each region. Additionally, we incorporate data from other resorts to enhance accuracy.
Monthly Water Temperature Range (Min, Max & Average)
| Month | Min | Avg | Max |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1°C | 4°C | 6°C |
| February | 0°C | 3°C | 6°C |
| March | 2°C | 8°C | 14°C |
| April | 8°C | 14°C | 19°C |
| May | 15°C | 20°C | 25°C |
| June | 18°C | 21°C | 24°C |
| July | 21°C | 25°C | 28°C |
| August | 21°C | 24°C | 27°C |
| September | 21°C | 23°C | 26°C |
| October | 14°C | 19°C | 23°C |
| November | 6°C | 11°C | 15°C |
| December | 2°C | 7°C | 10°C |
Lake Shenandoah: Water Temperature by Location
Lake Shenandoah: Weather Forecast
November 3
November 4
November 5
November 6
November 7
Location & Local Information
Lake Shenandoah, located in the Shenandoah Valley of Virginia, experiences typical temperate-season variations in surface water temperature. In winter the lake often drops into the mid-30s to mid-40s °F (about 1–7 °C), with colder nights producing near-freezing conditions in shallower areas. Spring brings steady warming, commonly to the mid-40s to mid-60s °F (7–18 °C) as ice melts and sunlight increases. Peak summer surface temperatures generally sit between the low 70s and low 80s °F (21–28 °C) and can climb into the mid-80s °F (around 29 °C) in shallow coves during heat waves. In autumn the water cools back into the 50s and lower 60s °F (10–17 °C). Deeper water stays cooler year-round, and the lake can stratify in summer so conditions vary with depth and location.
Swimming at Lake Shenandoah is not typically offered as a formal, staffed recreational beach; many visitors report informal swimming and wading in permitted areas, but there are limited lifeguard services and few built swimming facilities. Because of that and because water quality, underwater hazards, fluctuating levels, and local regulations can affect safety, authorities generally do not promote organized swimming. Visitors should follow posted rules and guidance from local managers before entering the water.