Lake Carlton — Current Water Temperature, Annual Trends and Forecast
This page provides information on the current water temperature in Lake Carlton, trends, monthly ranges and the forecast for the coming days.
Current Water Temperature
Water Temperature in Lake Carlton today is 28.7°C.
Water Temperature: Daily Trends, Historical Records, and Forecast
✅ As of today, the minimum water temperature is above 82°F (28°C). This is very warm water, which may feel almost hot to most people. Swimming in such conditions is perfect for those seeking relaxation and comfort in the water. These waters are often preferred for relaxation in hot weather, as the water temperature does not cool the body significantly. However, it is important to remember that in such warm waters, caution is necessary, as prolonged exposure without rest can lead to overheating. It is important to note that these swimming tips and recommendations apply only in good weather. When the air temperature is below 68°F (20°C), and sometimes even below 77°F (25°C), swimming can be unpleasant even with relatively high water temperatures.
Water Temperature Chart Over the Last 30 Days
Table of Daily Sea Temperature Data
| Date | Current | Average | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUN 23 | 26.4°C | 29.0°C | |
| JUN 24 | 26.4°C | 29.0°C | |
| JUN 25 | 26.4°C | 29.0°C | |
| JUN 26 | 30.2°C | 29.0°C | |
| JUN 27 | 29.6°C | 29.0°C | |
| JUN 28 | 29.6°C | 29.0°C | |
| JUN 29 | 29.6°C | 29.0°C | |
| JUN 30 | 28.7°C | 29.0°C | |
| JUL 1 | 30.5°C | 28.8°C | |
| JUL 2 | 30.5°C | 28.9°C | |
| JUL 3 | 30.5°C | 29.0°C | |
| JUL 4 | 30.5°C | 29.1°C | |
| JUL 5 | 30.5°C | 29.2°C | |
| JUL 6 | 30.5°C | 29.2°C | |
| JUL 7 | 30.5°C | 29.3°C |
* Current - Actual water temperature value
** Average - Average water temperature on this day in recent years
*** Forecast - Our water temperature forecast
Actual nearshore water temperatures may fluctuate by several degrees from the reported values, especially following heavy rainfall or extended periods of strong winds. Certain wind patterns can cause colder, deeper waters to rise and replace the sun-warmed surface water, leading to noticeable variations.
Our forecast is based on a proprietary mathematical model that considers real-time water temperature changes, historical trends, key weather patterns, wind strength and direction, and air temperature specific to each region. Additionally, we incorporate data from other resorts to enhance accuracy.
Monthly Water Temperature Range (Min, Max & Average)
| Month | Min | Avg | Max |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 19°C | 23°C | 27°C |
| February | 16°C | 23°C | 29°C |
| March | 19°C | 24°C | 29°C |
| April | 21°C | 24°C | 27°C |
| May | 24°C | 28°C | 32°C |
| June | 26°C | 29°C | 32°C |
| July | 27°C | 31°C | 34°C |
| August | 26°C | 30°C | 33°C |
| September | 26°C | 29°C | 32°C |
| October | 26°C | 29°C | 31°C |
| November | 21°C | 25°C | 27°C |
| December | 19°C | 23°C | 27°C |
Lake Carlton: Water Temperature by Location
Lake Carlton: Weather Forecast
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Location & Local Information
Lake Carlton, like many small freshwater lakes in Florida, experiences warm surface temperatures for much of the year but varies with depth, weather and local shading. Typical seasonal surface ranges might run about 60–72°F (16–22°C) in the coolest part of winter, rise to roughly 68–82°F (20–28°C) in spring, warm further to around 78–90°F (26–32°C) through the summer, and fall back toward 70–80°F (21–27°C) as air temperatures cool. Shallow sections heat and cool more quickly and can reach the upper end of these ranges during prolonged heatwaves, while deeper basins remain noticeably cooler.
Swimming in Lake Carlton is commonly permitted when there is public access and no posted prohibitions, but it depends on property ownership, county rules and water quality conditions. Authorities may close or discourage swimming if there are hazards such as strong currents near inlets, submerged obstructions, sewage releases or harmful algal blooms, and private landowners can restrict access. For safety, swimmers should look for signage, verify local advisories, and consider that water temperatures around 75–85°F (24–29°C) are generally comfortable for recreational swimming, while colder winter temperatures or very warm, stagnant summer water can affect comfort and safety.