Stumpy Lake — Current Water Temperature, Annual Trends and Forecast
This page provides information on the current water temperature in Stumpy Lake, trends, monthly ranges and the forecast for the coming days.
Current Water Temperature
Water Temperature in Stumpy Lake today is 21.2°C.
Water Temperature: Daily Trends, Historical Records, and Forecast
✅ As of today, the minimum water temperature ranges from 68°F (20°C) to 74°F (23°C). The water is warm and pleasant for swimming, and in this range, one can stay in the water for extended periods without the risk of hypothermia. This is the ideal temperature for relaxation, swimming, and water sports. Families with children, as well as outdoor enthusiasts, will enjoy swimming and time spent in the water. For most people, this is the optimal temperature for a comfortable beach experience. It is important to note that these swimming tips and recommendations apply only in good weather. When the air temperature is below 68°F (20°C), and sometimes even below 77°F (25°C), swimming can be unpleasant even with relatively high water temperatures.
Water Temperature Chart Over the Last 30 Days
Table of Daily Sea Temperature Data
| Date | Current | Average | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| OCT 5 | 23.1°C | 19.0°C | |
| OCT 6 | 23.2°C | 19.0°C | |
| OCT 7 | 23.3°C | 19.0°C | |
| OCT 8 | 22.5°C | 19.0°C | |
| OCT 9 | 21.8°C | 19.0°C | |
| OCT 10 | 22.2°C | 19.0°C | |
| OCT 11 | 22.1°C | 19.0°C | |
| OCT 12 | 20.5°C | 19.0°C | |
| OCT 13 | 19.0°C | 21.1°C | |
| OCT 14 | 19.0°C | 21.0°C | |
| OCT 15 | 19.0°C | 20.9°C | |
| OCT 16 | 19.0°C | 20.8°C | |
| OCT 17 | 19.0°C | 20.7°C | |
| OCT 18 | 19.0°C | 20.5°C | |
| OCT 19 | 19.0°C | 20.4°C |
* Current - Actual water temperature value
** Average - Average water temperature on this day in recent years
*** Forecast - Our water temperature forecast
Actual nearshore water temperatures may fluctuate by several degrees from the reported values, especially following heavy rainfall or extended periods of strong winds. Certain wind patterns can cause colder, deeper waters to rise and replace the sun-warmed surface water, leading to noticeable variations.
Our forecast is based on a proprietary mathematical model that considers real-time water temperature changes, historical trends, key weather patterns, wind strength and direction, and air temperature specific to each region. Additionally, we incorporate data from other resorts to enhance accuracy.
Monthly Water Temperature Range (Min, Max & Average)
| Month | Min | Avg | Max |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4°C | 7°C | 10°C |
| February | 1°C | 6°C | 10°C |
| March | 8°C | 12°C | 16°C |
| April | 14°C | 18°C | 22°C |
| May | 16°C | 21°C | 26°C |
| June | 18°C | 22°C | 26°C |
| July | 25°C | 29°C | 32°C |
| August | 23°C | 27°C | 31°C |
| September | 22°C | 26°C | 29°C |
| October | 16°C | 19°C | 22°C |
| November | 6°C | 12°C | 17°C |
| December | 7°C | 10°C | 13°C |
Stumpy Lake: Water Temperature by Location
Stumpy Lake: Weather Forecast
October 13
October 14
October 15
October 16
October 17
Location & Local Information
Stumpy Lake is a relatively shallow, marsh-influenced lake whose surface temperature follows the coastal Virginia seasonal cycle. In winter the water typically cools into the low 40s–mid 50s °F (about 5–13 °C). Spring brings a steady rise, with surface readings often in the upper 40s to mid 60s °F (9–18 °C) as air temperatures warm and sunlight increases. Summer surface temperatures commonly reach the low 70s to low 80s °F (22–28 °C) on warm days, though shallow areas can heat more quickly; early fall cools the water back into the 60s–70s °F range (15–24 °C) before dropping toward winter values. These are approximate ranges for typical years and can vary with weather, wind, depth, and day-to-day conditions.
There is no maintained swim beach or lifeguarded area at Stumpy Lake, and swimming is generally discouraged rather than promoted. The lake and surrounding park are managed largely for wildlife habitat, passive recreation, and fishing; submerged vegetation, muddy or uneven bottoms, limited visibility, and variable water quality make unsupervised swimming potentially unsafe. Visitors who choose to enter the water do so at their own risk, and it’s advisable to follow local park guidance and posted rules, as authorities may restrict or advise against swimming for safety and conservation reasons.