Lake Burnt Mills — Current Water Temperature, Annual Trends and Forecast
This page provides information on the current water temperature in Lake Burnt Mills, trends, monthly ranges and the forecast for the coming days.
Current Water Temperature
Water Temperature in Lake Burnt Mills today is 29.6°C.
Water Temperature: Daily Trends, Historical Records, and Forecast
✅ As of today, the minimum water temperature is above 82°F (28°C). This is very warm water, which may feel almost hot to most people. Swimming in such conditions is perfect for those seeking relaxation and comfort in the water. These waters are often preferred for relaxation in hot weather, as the water temperature does not cool the body significantly. However, it is important to remember that in such warm waters, caution is necessary, as prolonged exposure without rest can lead to overheating. It is important to note that these swimming tips and recommendations apply only in good weather. When the air temperature is below 68°F (20°C), and sometimes even below 77°F (25°C), swimming can be unpleasant even with relatively high water temperatures.
Water Temperature Chart Over the Last 30 Days
Table of Daily Sea Temperature Data
| Date | Current | Average | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUL 14 | 27.6°C | 28.0°C | |
| JUL 15 | 29.9°C | 28.0°C | |
| JUL 16 | 30.1°C | 28.0°C | |
| JUL 17 | 30.3°C | 28.0°C | |
| JUL 18 | 29.6°C | 28.0°C | |
| JUL 19 | 29.4°C | 28.0°C | |
| JUL 20 | 29.4°C | 28.0°C | |
| JUL 21 | 30.1°C | 28.0°C | |
| JUL 22 | 28.0°C | 29.5°C | |
| JUL 23 | 28.0°C | 29.4°C | |
| JUL 24 | 28.0°C | 29.4°C | |
| JUL 25 | 28.0°C | 29.3°C | |
| JUL 26 | 28.0°C | 29.2°C | |
| JUL 27 | 28.0°C | 29.1°C | |
| JUL 28 | 28.0°C | 29.0°C |
* Current - Actual water temperature value
** Average - Average water temperature on this day in recent years
*** Forecast - Our water temperature forecast
Actual nearshore water temperatures may fluctuate by several degrees from the reported values, especially following heavy rainfall or extended periods of strong winds. Certain wind patterns can cause colder, deeper waters to rise and replace the sun-warmed surface water, leading to noticeable variations.
Our forecast is based on a proprietary mathematical model that considers real-time water temperature changes, historical trends, key weather patterns, wind strength and direction, and air temperature specific to each region. Additionally, we incorporate data from other resorts to enhance accuracy.
Monthly Water Temperature Range (Min, Max & Average)
| Month | Min | Avg | Max |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4°C | 7°C | 9°C |
| February | 1°C | 5°C | 8°C |
| March | 7°C | 11°C | 15°C |
| April | 9°C | 16°C | 23°C |
| May | 15°C | 20°C | 26°C |
| June | 18°C | 23°C | 27°C |
| July | 23°C | 28°C | 32°C |
| August | 24°C | 28°C | 31°C |
| September | 21°C | 25°C | 29°C |
| October | 17°C | 19°C | 22°C |
| November | 6°C | 12°C | 17°C |
| December | 7°C | 10°C | 13°C |
Lake Burnt Mills: Water Temperature by Location
Lake Burnt Mills: Weather Forecast
July 22
July 23
July 24
July 25
July 26
Location & Local Information
Lake Burnt Mills, like many small inland lakes in Virginia, follows a marked seasonal cycle in surface temperature. In winter months the water commonly sits near freezing, roughly 34–45°F (1–7°C). As air temperatures warm in spring the surface climbs to about 45–65°F (7–18°C). Peak summer conditions typically yield the warmest surface readings, often in the range of 70–80°F (21–27°C) on warm afternoons, with the warmest thin surface layer occasionally reaching the lower 80s (27–28°C) during heat waves. Early autumn sees a steady cooling, with surface temperatures commonly between 60–70°F (16–21°C) before dropping back into winter values. These ranges reflect typical northern Virginia conditions and can vary with depth, weather patterns, and year-to-year variation.
Swimming at Lake Burnt Mills is generally not permitted for reasons of safety and resource protection. Many small reservoirs and managed lakes in the region are regulated to protect water quality, reduce hazards from variable depths and underwater obstructions, and limit liability; signage and local ordinances typically reflect those restrictions. Even where informal wading or boating occurs, water temperatures outside the warmest summer weeks can present cold-shock risk, and algal blooms or poor visibility can create additional health and safety concerns, so visitors should follow posted rules and local authority guidance.